Wednesday, October 27, 2010

White Boy Profile #4: Jeff Foster



Origin: January 16, 1977 in San Antonio, Tx.

Upbringing:  Played his college ball at Southwest Texas State University (Bobby Bouche, anyone?)

Keys to his Game: How on Earth is this guy an 11 year NBA veteran?  He has never averaged more than 7 points or 9 rebounds.  He is perfectly mediocre.  Keys to his game?  He sets great screens.  Seriously.  He is a marginal rebounder for his height.  He covers the baseline.  Bless his heart, he has earned over $40 million in the NBA.  

Best White Boy Feature: It is a tie between his pre-balding poof and his appeared cluelessnesss

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Interesting observations:  Again, how has this guy pulled in $40 million?  The most points he ever scored in a game was 19... twice.  11 year pro and he never even broke the 20 point barrier.  I got to give the guy credit.  White boys have a unique ability of just remaining mediocre.

NBA Career:  Only in Indiana can  Jeff Foster remain relevant for a decade.  How is it that this guy is an NBA vet when this guy never even sniffed the court 
Amazing.  Watching this video is sad to think this kid never had a legitimate shot.

Nickname(s): N/A
Proposed New Nickname:  Survivor Man

Closest Comparison (Current or Historic): 

ALL THE WAY!!!

White Boy Level: 5 out 10.  Pedestrian white boy who never broke double digits in rebounds or points

Skill Level: 3 out of 10.  Jeff Foster, you will never cease to amaze me.



Tuesday, October 12, 2010

White Boy Profile #3: Brad Miller





I have to say I am impressed Brad Miller is even still in the league.  Going back to his Purdue days, who knew we would still be watching his big white behind 13 years later.

Origin: April 12, 1976 in Kendallville, Ind.  If you are keeping score, that is 2 white boys from Indiana.

Upbringing: Played 3 years high school ball in Kendallville before transferring to a prep school in Maine his senior year.  Went to Purdue where he was an instrumental member on some very physical Gene Keady teams.  He was consistently average scoring 1,400 pts, grabbing 800 boards and dishing 250 assists.  He will be remembered as a tough guy for busting his chin open in his final game but refusing to stay off the floor.  And bonus white boy points for playing on the same collegiate team as Brian Cardinal, another proto-type NBA white boy.

Keys to his Game: Strong physical player with a large frame and farmers build.  Brad Miller looks mean but he has a sweet mid range jumper which has kept him relevant in the NBA.   He is not the typical rebound/shot block center you would expect.  He is a sweet shooter.  After all, he is an Indiana boy, less we forget.

Best White Boy Feature: The B.A. go-tee

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(5 great things: Oakley GANG tackles everyone, Marcus Fizer haha remember that guy?, Brad Miller shirtless, Kobe has no sympathy for Shaq, Ron Artest is the calming influence in this fight.)  Wow.

Interesting observations: He wore corn rows back in Sactown.  What on Earth was he thinking?

NBA Career: Undrafted and went to play in Italy during the lockout before being picked up by the Hornets in 98.  He is well known for his years with the Kings and Bulls.  He also had a stint with the Pacers and will be suiting up for the Rockets this year.

Nickname(s):Boss (not validated)
Proposed New Nickname: The Big Mean Shooting Machine

Closest Comparison (Current or Historic): Mehmet Okur

White Boy Level: 8 out of 10.  Brad has flourished in the league despite being undrafted and rather pedestrian through his college years.  He has found success because of his ability to shoot and play a physically demanding position.  

Skill Level: 6 out of 10.  Not an incredible rebounder or shot blocker hurts his overall skill level.  His consistency and shooting ability keep him above average.



Monday, October 11, 2010

Chase Budinger rises above

Volleyball aficionado, Chase Budinger has the athletics.

Monday, October 4, 2010

White Boy Profile #2: Gordon Hayward

Gordon Hayward


We will look at Gordon early on because I want to create some buzz about the rookie fresh off a stellar National Championship game run. 

Origin: March 23, 1990 in Brownsville, Ind

Upbringing: Born to an undersized father, it was assumed Gordon Jr. was destined to be a guard.  His father pushed him to develop his guard skills.  As a 5’11 freshman he almost abandoned basketball to pursue tennis but by his junior year, he had shot up to 6’7 and 6’8 in his senior year.  He received 3 Indiana-area scholarships and ultimately settled on Butler because 6:30 am practices would not interfere with his computer programming major and Butler enabled his twin sister to join him on campus and play tennis.   

As a college athlete, everyone by now knows about his shining moment in the NCAA tourney.  When he started on the U-19 US Men’s team, that is when the NBA dream became real to him and he decided to abandon his junior and senior seasons.  

Keys to his Game: Guard skills in a 6’9 frame.  He is a great shooter, passser, and dribbler, plays surprisingly good defense as long as it is within a scheme, and is a deceptive rebounder.  He will struggle at the NBA level beneath and around the rim but can find a long career as a spot shooter and mid-range attacker.  

Best White Boy Feature: Indiana farm boy ears.

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Interesting observations: He came from an incredible system that was predicated upon two things: run the offense through Gordon and play a cohesive team defense.  Both of those things won’t happen in the NBA.  Can Hayward flourish in the NBA style of game?  I think he can if he is willing to adapt.  As a cerebral guy, I think he has potential.  

NBA Career: Drafted by Utah with the 9th pick

Nickname(s): Flash Gordon Hayward (lame)
Proposed New Nickname: Corn (you know, because of Indiana and the big ears and all).  

Closest Comparison (Current or Historic): Mike Miller

White Boy Level: This is purely based on potential.  I will give him a 6.5 out of 10.  I see that as his ceiling.  A quality back up who can score in bunches, make funny Internet cameos and even hold his own on the defensive end.  

Skill Level: Potentially 5.5 out of 10.  I don’t see Hayward representing his conference in an all star game, and I don’t even seeing him in the starting line up of a quality playoff team.  But that doesn’t mean, he can’t have an above-average career has a bench scorer on a good team or a starting forward on a 30 win team that is fun to watch.

Thursday, September 30, 2010

White Boy Profile #1: Introduction and Troy Murphy

Basketballitics is back.  Over the course of this season, I am going to do my best to document the white boys of the NBA.  The under-rated and under-estimated NBA white boy deserves a place where He can be recognized (or at least documented).  Besides, the unintentional comedy is just too priceless to pass up:


White Boy Profile #1: Troy Murphy







I am happy to start with a New Jersey native.

Origin: May 4, 1980 in Morristown, NJ but grew up in Sparta, NJ.

Upbringing: Played his high school ball at uptight prep school, Delbarton (tuition averages around $25k per year).  3 standout years at Delbarton prepared him for Notre Dame where he led his team in scoring and rebounding for each of his three seasons, earned two All America selections and shared player of the year honors for the Big East with Troy Bell in 2001.

Keys to his Game: He is a gifted rebounder and a great shooter for a guy of his size.  Murphy has wonderful touch.  He has increased his strength which has assured his lengthy NBA career.   

Best White Boy Feature:  Floppy hair

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Interesting observations: Murphy seemed to level off around 2005 but resurrected his career over the past two seasons after assimilating to the Pacers.  Now, as the home town boy in New Jersey, he will split time in the paint with Brook Lopez and Derrick Favors, two of the three earning the starting spots.  My guess is Murphy will contribute a solid 14-10 as Favors will struggle to adapt to the NBA size and strength.

NBA Career: 9 years- 5.5 with Golden State and 3.5 with Indiana.  

Nickname(s): Horse (honestly, that is pretty good)
Proposed New Nickname: The Big Tan

Closest Comparison (Current or Historic): Cross between Andrew Bogut and Matt Bonner with a little Cliff Robinson on the side.

White Boy Level: 9 of out 10.  He is one of the better white boys you will find in the league both from a consistency and skill standpoint.  What he lacks in athleticism, he makes up in size and skill.  

Skill Level: 7 out of 10.  Better than average NBA talent who is best suited to be the number 3 option on a winning team.  I bumped him from 6 to 7 because he is regularly a top 10 rebounder.


Friday, April 23, 2010

A Feat Never to be Repeated

Ok, I have never deviated from basketball on this blog, but things change.  There is a great big world out there and I think it would be small-minded of me to deny it!

There has been some talk about Jorge Cantu running his hitting streak to 20 games. However, his Marlins team has only played 16 games this season.  We have seen this before where hitting streaks extend over two seasons. The debate this brings up is whether or not a hitting streak should count when its spans over two seasons.

At first glance, I think it is a clear yes.  Despite the gastric reflex it seems to cause when I think of it, theoretically, it is valid.  Why should a guy be penalized if there was several months between games?  I mean the Cal Ripken Jr streak is over several seasons and everyone loves him for that (sort of).

But I think it is a dull point to the much more fascinating point: that we are talking about this streak at all when a player is only 35% of the way there.  Doesn't that say something about the streak itself?

While DiMaggio was pursuing this feat, he had to deal with some extraordinary circumstances.  He had this favorite bat stolen mid-streak.  His team mates didn't know how to interact with him.  The media was in a frenzy.  All of that adds to the aura of the record.  What if a team pitched around him for a night?  Streak over.  What is his teammates were cold and he only got to the plate three times?  On the night the streak died, he hit two screamers that were caught for outs.  Baseball is funny that way.  So many things in baseball just seem to predicated on luck.

But here is why I bring this up.  A Nobel laureate physicist named Ed Purcell applied gaming theory and coin-flip theory to analyze all baseball streak and slump records.  What he found was very interesting.  Every single record in baseball history except one falls within the boundaries of what would statistically expect to happen.  In other words, nothing ever happened above and beyond the frequency predicted by coin-toss models.  So win streaks, losing streaks, hot and cold streaks, etc.- they all are scientifically expected.  There is only one exception and only one as this excerpt from the book Joe DiMaggio and the Summer of 41 by Michael Siedel so eloquently states,
There is one major exception, and absolutely only one—one sequence so many standard deviations above the expected distribution that it should not have occurred at all. Joe DiMaggio’s fifty-six–game hitting streak in 1941. The intuition of baseball aficionados has been vindicated. Purcell calculated that to make it likely (probability greater than 50 percent) that a run of even fifty games will occur once in the history of baseball up to now (and fifty-six is a lot more than fifty in this kind of league), baseball’s rosters would have to include either four lifetime .400 batters or fifty-two lifetime .350 batters over careers of one thousand games. In actuality, only three men have lifetime batting averages in excess of .350, and no one is anywhere near .400 (Ty Cobb at .367, Rogers Hornsby at .358, and Shoeless Joe Jackson at .356). DiMaggio’s streak is the most extraordinary thing that ever happened in American sports. He sits on the shoulders of two bearers—mythology and science. For Joe DiMaggio accomplished what no other ballplayer has done. He beat the hardest taskmaster of all, a woman who makes Nolan Ryan’s fastball look like a cantaloupe in slow motion—Lady Luck.
That is just incredible.  Will we ever see what Joe DiMaggio did that summer recreated in any sport?  Science says no.

That is truly amazing.

NCAA Tourney Held to 68 Teams!

Great, great news but I can't talk about it now.  Will have to get back this next week.  Just wanted to mention that the 96-Team Travesty has been avoided at least for the foreseeable future.  Ah, I can sleep at night.

Wednesday, April 21, 2010

NBA Draft

As we approach the May 8th Withdrawal date for players considering the NBA, there are currently around 60-65 underclassman declared for the NBA which is a pretty absurd number. I am hoping many follow in the footsteps of Duke junior, Kyle Singler who will return for his senior year.  Said his coach,
It was his dream to come to Duke and he is finishing one dream before he starts another and he wants to maximize the dream.  He's an amazing guy to coach, he's got great heart and is a warrior.  Through leadership, I think he can bring that out in others on the team.
I would have to think he will be front-runner for POY next year.  Some think he is making a mistake.  Please, please, let me know what the mistake is that he is making?  Is he guaranteed lottery money?  No.  Does he have suspect health issues that could rear their ugly heads next year?  No.  Does Duke have the risk of falling from contention as UNC did last year?  Not even close.

So what am I missing?  He is having the time of his life in college, he is learning and growing, spending precious time with friends that he will never have again, and he is playing basketball at the highest possible amateur level under a Half of Fame coach surrounded by future pros.  Call me crazy but Kyle will improve his strength and focus on spearheading the defense this year.  As a senior, he will be a leader on and off the floor and will help transition the freshman into collegiate life.  He will be honored by his fans and possibly hang his jersey in the rafters when it is all said-and-done.  How is this hurting this kid?

If I were an NBA GM, Kyle's name would be near the top of my list for next summer.  Use Shane Battier as an example.  Sure, the guy is no All Star but he is an instrumental and much-needed piece to the winning puzzle.  And he is a great guy.  That is no fluke... that's four years at Duke.

Thursday, April 15, 2010

College Basketball: Top Achieving Teams

Here is a list of the top achieving teams of the year in college basketball.

10. Xavier Musketeers (26-9; 14-2)- Xavier played extremely well in an improved Atlantic 10 Conference.  They were joined by Richmond and Temple in the Big Dance while Dayton won the NIT and Rhode Island advanced far. Saint Louis and Charlotte also had strong seasons.  What really made this Xavier season impressive, though, was the turmoil we expected.  Their star guard was viewed as selfish and uncoachable and Sean Miller, the young coach signed to a long term deal left for the Pac 10.

However, new head coach and former assistant, Chris Mack convinced this team to buy into his concept.  Crawford played within the system and the result was a repeat run to the Sweet 16.  Certainly, post season success is nothing new but considering the expectations going into this year, I see it as a great success.  I even gave them the slight edge to Kansas State despite losing in double-OT to the Wildcats in one of the best tournament games in recent memory.  K-State got the bump due to their Final Four aspirations.

9. Ohio State Buckeyes (29-8; 14-4)- A quality team became a great team after a late-January loss to West Virginia.  They went on a rampage, winning 14 of their next 15, including a sweep of the Big 10 tournament with their lone loss coming in a tight game against top-10 Purdue.  They carried that success into the tournament, winning another 2 games en route to a hard-fought 3 point loss to Tennessee in the Sweet 16.  16 of 18 in the toughest stretch of the year?  That's a quality season.

Throw in the fact the Evan Turner collected nearly every single piece of hardware despite breaking two bones in his back and Ohio State was clearly a Top 10 Achiever.

8. New Mexico Lobos (30-5; 14-2)- Unfortunately, they will most be remembered for beat down in the second round of the tourney at the hands of Washington (a team that peaked at exactly the right time) but this season was so much more for the Lobos.  The Pit was restored to its true status as they won their first conference championship since '94 and there first 30 win season ever.  Steve Alford has reestablished the program and is signed on to a new contract.  It was a great year for New Mexico.

7. Pitt Panthers (25-9; 13-5)- The only team on my Top 10 that didn't make the Sweet 16 but I give this team tons of credit considering what they lost coming into the year.  They lost Sam Young and DeJuan Blair to the NBA, their heart-and-soul leader LeVance Fields, and seniors Tyrell Biggs and Sean Brown.  They were projected to finish 9th in the Big East and yet they battled the entire year among the top of the league and finished 13-5.  They were the only team to beat all of the top 6 Big East teams.  Jaime Dixon is just an incredible coach and he will be making life hard for Big East foes for years to come.

I can give almost equal amounts of credit to Buzz Williams and his Marquette team that played its way into the NCAAs as a 6 seed despite graduating their top 3.  They did get knocked out by a peaking Washington team in the first round, however.

6. Cornell Big Red (29-5; 13-1)- This was the year for the Big Red to put it all together.  With a senior dominated line up, one of the best perimeter attacks in the nation and a coach in Steve Donahue who was ripe to be plucked up to the next level, they won the Ivy league and advanced to the school's first Sweet 16.  Seniors Ryan Wittman, Jeff Foote, Alex Tyler, Jon Jaques and Geoff Reeves comprised a stellar senior class led by Wittman, Ivy League Player of the Year and big gun in the nation's best three-point offense. With crushing wins over Temple and Wisconsin, Cornell would have been the Bell of the Ball if not for our number 2 team.

5. Tennessee Volunteers (28-9; 11-5)- In early January, this program suffered what easily could have been a season-ending trauma when four of Bruce Pearl's top 8, including senior stand out Tyler Smith were arrested.  The undermanned roster responded by suiting up the same week and knocking out Charlotte and slaying then-number-1 Kansas by 8.  As the dust settled, the program rallied around adversity, and strung together the first Elite 8 run in school history.  Besides Kansas, they beat number one seed Kentucky and knocked off Big Ten champ, Ohio State in the Sweet 16.

After all of the drama, they fell one point shy of the Final Four.  It was a quite a year in Knoxville.

4. West Virginia Mountaineers (31-7; 13-5)- The Mountaineers continued to come together as a team as the season progressed.  After a hard-fought regular season as usual in the Big East, they came out victorious in the Big East Tournament and earned a 2 seed in the Big Dance.

This was the first year in school history they won 30+ as well as their first Final Four since 1959 when Jerry West was in Morgantown.  This team played a rather unorthodox style highlighted by gritty defense, extreme length, streaky shooting and strong offensive rebounding.  This method reached its apex in the Regional Final against number 1 seeded Kentucky, where the Mountaineers pressured UK into poor shooting and unforced errors.

It was also the year to see Bob Huggins, local hero, make it to his first Final Four after 3 years as a player and 25 seasons as a coach.  West Virginia played inspirational basketball and left us with enduring images through the year, culminating in the sorrowful end to De'Sean Butler's wonderful collegiate career.

3. Michigan State Spartans (28-9; 14-4)- What more can you say about Izzo's teams?  Another year, another Final Four.  This one may be the most improbable as this team struggled to find an identity all season long.  Nevertheless, they found a way to navigate their way through a 5 seed to their sixth final four in 12 seasons. That translates to 55 student-athletes and every single four-year player Tom Izzo has recruited.  That is staggering!  Also, they did it by a margin of 3.25 points per game in the tournament, the tightest margin since the field expanded in '85.

For such a wacky season, it just seemed right that Michigan State again found a way to make it to the Final Four.

2. Butler Bulldogs (33-5; 18-0)- Not much more to say than what has already been said.  It is important to note, however, that this team didn't fit the typical Mid-Major mode.  Usually, these teams have many upperclassmen and a few 5th/6th year seniors making their experience their greatest facet.  This Bulldog team was way more predicated on team defense and individual offensive skill, making this 2010 conglomerate all the more impressive.  Without worrying too much about the future, it is quite amazing to note that this team was one shot away from being one of, if the most recognizable college basketball teams in history.  That's something.

1. Duke Blue Devils (35-5; 13-3)- They split the regular season and won the ACC tournament and that would have been impressive enough but this Duke team was just getting started.  Unheralded versus many of its predecessors, this team used one of the most basic winning formulas in college basketball history.  Keep the ball in the hands of three dominant perimeter scorers, and shuffle two sets of big men for defense and rebounding.  That's it.  Basically, the Blue Devils played 7 guys, relied on 3 for consistent scoring and let Zoubek/Thomas/Plumlee twins do the dirty work.  And it worked... brilliantly!

Honorable Mention:


Kansas State- Martin's squad may have been hurt slightly by the high hopes coming into the season but an Elite 8 finish is nothing to be ashamed of.

Northern Iowa- Gave us one of the most thrilling games of the tournament and played quality ball all year.

Maryland- Beat expectations by tying Duke for the ACC Regular Season title and gave Michigan State a run for their money in the second round.


Syracuse- Expectations were low coming in as the Orange lost a lot of talent but they retooled for a very impressive season culminating in a number one seed.  However, the what-if looms large after Onuaku went down at the end of the season.

St. Marys- They graduated their best player to the NBA but returned to beat Gonzaga in the WCC Tourney and make a run to the Sweet 16.  Great season!

Baylor- What fun it was to watch this team come together for a deep run in the tourney.  Hopefully Udoh returns and they can make another run next year.  Oh don't go Udoh!! But can I really blame you?  You are ready.

Friday, April 9, 2010

Stevens Commits... Breaking Down the Coaching Carousel



The first good news of what should be a very wild off season came out yesterday as Brad Stevens has committed to the Butler program.  First, lets get the details out of the way.  Stevens is 33 years old and this is a 12 year deal.  According to this deal, Stevens will be on the Butler sideline until he is 45.
I am not sure what the annual salary is but I am sure it is not on par with what the likes of Oregon, Clemson, Wake Forest would have offered.  
Some people are saying Stevens is missing his one window of opportunity to cash in and make it to the next level.  This is why I am here to level some sense into the debate. 
To start, Brad Stevens is very, very young.  After 12 years he will be 45 years old which is still very young in college basketball coaching years.  To put this in perspective, he was the youngest coach in the Sweet Sixteen, the College Basketball Promised Land.  He was six years younger than the next youngest.  The average age for a coach in this year's Sweet Sixteen was 47.3.  If you take out mid-majors (which are jobs that would not have lured Stevens from Butler), the average age is 50.  When you slim the list down to the Final Four, you have Izzo (50), Huggings (56), Coach K (63), and Stevens (33).  Translation: the guy is a baby. 
That being said, there is no rush for Stevens to throw himself into a bigger program with way more demands, competition and expectations.  Even if he never recreated his success from this year, he can still have a very successful 12 seasons in the Horizon League and earn a shot at the big schools.  
Would it be crazy for Stevens to win 10 Horizon League titles in the next 12 years?  Let's even go conservative and give him only 6.  In the new world of 96 team gluttony, he is still playing in 10 or 12 tournaments (excuse me while I throw up).  
Bottom line for the window-of-opportunity-closing debate- Stevens' window has just opened and he has plenty of time to prove his worth in the Horizon League before exposing himself to the next level of pressure and expectations. 
On the other hand, you have someone like Steve Donahue who is leaving Cornell for the ACC to coach Boston College.  Much different scenario.  Donahue, at 48, is in his coaching prime.  He has brought the Cornell program to its peak and he is graduating lots of seniors.  Next year will be a down year for Cornell and Princeton is getting better.  He left at just the right time.  


That is not to say Donahue will have it easy in BC.  They have a talent gap that needs to be filled quick.  Donahue will have his hands full hitting the recruiting circuit hard and heavy to have BC in the mix.  Despite three years of success at Cornell, recruiting for the Ivy League is nothing compared to the ACC. 
Going back to Stevens, what does he have to gain from a move like that?  More money perhaps.  But think about what he has to lose?  He has a solid program with tons of returning talent (pending Gordon Hayward's decision).  He has the Gonzaga-factor which is a recruiters gem (see what the Gonzaga program has been able to do thanks to early success on the backs of Frahm and Santangelo).  He is coaching in Indiana, a fertile flat-bed of basketball talent, in an era where Indiana University is way down, meaning Butler is the number one choice for in-state ball.  The buy is beloved in Indy.  He has job security.  What more could a young, aspiring coach ask for?  
Now, let me play devil's advocate for a moment.  What if Stevens isn't so wide-eyed and honest as we take him for?  Consider Sean Miller, who inked a 13 year extension with Xavier but soon thereafter bolted for Arizona.  That was pure dollars.  Miller left behind a very solid contender for a team in a power-six in rebuilding mold.  Good for him.  Arizona is a challenge with lucrative payouts. 
Look around the college landscape now.  The best jobs available are Oregon (yawn), Clemson (yawn), Wake Forest (potential but certainly not Arizona-caliber potential).  After that, the drop off is huge.  Rutgers, Charlotte, and thats about it.  Stevens has given himself a wonderful hedge.  He has 12 years of guaranteed money with a school and state that loves him.  He can build a name for himself at a quality, nationally recognized program where a huge portion of the success will be given to him.  And whenever a lucrative spot opens, he can bolt for greener grass.  
The way I see it, Stevens didn't commit to Butler as much as he committed to guaranteed money in a down market.  If Kentucky or Indiana were calling at his door, I don't think Stevens would still be with Butler.  
I love Stevens and I love that he will be with Butler for the foreseeable future.  But I have a feeling we won't be seeing him live out those 12 years. 




In other coaching news, Corliss "Big Nasty" Williamson is the new head coach at Central Arkansas which is a huge PR-win for CA.  Corliss is most remembered for leading the '94 Arkansas team to a National Championship.  
Two other coaching hires I am really looking forward to are Steve Lavin at St. Johns and Fran McCaffery at Iowa.  Lavin has worked for ESPN for the past few years and will have to work really hard to secure a chunk of NYC Metro area talent.  This is one of the greatest areas for talent and as of late, local schools have really struggled to keep kids close.  Just look at this years final four.  De'Saun Butler, Wellington Smith, Devin Ebanks, Kevin Jones, Darryl Bryant, Danny Jennings, Brian Zoubek, and Lance Thomas are from the NYC Metro area.  That is some serious talent! 
Fran McCaffery is leaving the Northeast where he has had tremendous success to battle Iowa out of the Big 10 basement.  He will probably convince some Northeast talent to travel out to the Midwest so that, too, should be interesting.



Wednesday, April 7, 2010

As They Make A City Out of My Town: The Coming Crisis in College Basketball



How much more can we possibly heave onto Gordon Hayward’s awkwardly gangly but deceivingly powerful shoulders?  As the Lucas Oil Field clocks went to 0:00 Monday night, this kid was just trying to make a shot, albeit a game winning shot…from half court… for a National Championship… in front of a hometown crowd… against America’s love-hate team… representing mid-majors everywhere.   I have wanted to say something about this game for two days now.  I don’t have the words yet.  In so many ways, it was perfect basketball.  An offensive albatross caught in a defensive vice.  It was a forty minute battle that was played within the confines of one possession for 31 of those minutes.   And then it ended.  An inch off of a miracle.  Hollywood hung her head.  America stood stunned.  Hayward walked silently passed the broken body of Matt Howard.  And Duke, alone, cheered their fourth national title.



Then something weird began to happen.  You can call it a phenomenon but not one unique to the sport of college basketball.  The pain of the loss, the agonizing what-ifs, they all just melted away.  Faces were held high.  Approval seemed granted.  I don’t know what else to call it than the bountiful bittersweet.  In a matter of moments, perspective filled the air.  People were trading stories, everyone was sharing reactions, and you had to tell people what you were thinking as that ball sailed towards the rim.  Duke wasn’t the enemy anymore.  They were just the team that Butler almost beat, the lesser half (oddly enough) but essential none-the-less piece of the near perfect moment.  We didn’t mind Duke accepting the trophy.  Somehow, this story felt like it had its bookends, even with Butler huddled beneath the party in their visitor’s locker room.

And what more could you ask from a game?   But, yes, unfortunately, Monday night was more than just a game.  

The tides are changing in college basketball.  Influxes of forces are merging to cyclone status and I can not tell you for sure what the end product will look like except that it will look different.  

This is what was present in my mind as Hayward tried to finish the dream.  

We were treated to the best of college basketball this March.  So many enduring images are going to last through the years whether its Huggins cradling a hysterical De’Sean Butler, Korie Lucious being carried off the floor as Coach Izzo gave ways to tears after beating Maryland, the Farokhmanesh dagger against Kansas, the Prince salute, or the 40 foot Crawford bomb (complete with Gus Johnson backing vocals) to force double-OT, these images have entered our collective psyche as exhibits of the March Madness experience.  And call me nostalgic but everything about this experience matters to me from the charming piano interludes of the Masters to the final images in One Shining Moment, I feel as if I am spending time with old friends again and again.

When I was a kid, the Final Four was the ultimate, and I mean the ultimate fan experience.  Kids walking on clouds, getting their one shot.  The build up was so epic and the moment so surreal.  It all came to a crescendo at that jump ball on Monday night.  And I thought those moments were all mine.  In fact, I would watch the Monday game all alone in my room.  I would build a fort with blankets and chairs encasing only me, my TV, and my dog for the next few hours.  

That is why no one will ever understand how much Miles Simon or Anthony Epps or Scotty Thurman or Toby Bailey or Donald Williams mean to me.  I have seen the Chris Webber game well over 20 times.  I cried when Camby’s Minutemen ran into the Kentucky Train in East Rutherford.   I still wish Edgar Padigla and Donta Bright got one more chance.  I remember not believing my eyes when Vince Carter pulled his jersey out of his shorts and bent down to kiss the Alamo-inspired Final Four emblem in his last college game or the time the “Comeback Cats” ended Wojo’s career in a sea of tears. The NCAA tournament has always just meant that much to me.   

And here we are in 2010, and it will all change.  But change is essential?  Not always.  Not here.  Sometimes you find the perfect balance.  And Monday night, April 5, 2010 was the climax of this shining moment in time.

The chaotic expansion of the most beloved tournament in sports is all but a formality at this point.  We will see 96 teams battle it out next year.  The entire landscape of the game will change.  And that is just the beginning of the problem.

I will be honest. I am a dreamer.  I don’t always have my feet on the ground.  But I need to be a realist here.  College basketball is far from perfect.  Where do we start?  The Calipari chop-shops?  The Tim Floyd/OJ Mayor scandal?  The one-and-doners?  It is all there for us to see, but it has always been digestible due to the fact that this perfect tournament brought it all back home.  No matter what the “business” of college basketball did to leave us shaking our heads, the tear-soaked jerseys and true team work that March laid on the basketball altar was due penance.  

This time it feels different because it is different.  A 96 team tournament completely alters the college basketball landscape.  For starters, I was vocal about the bubble snubs this year.  I thought deserving teams were left out at the expense of undeserving teams.  While this is a fun debate, it never made me believe that the tournament should be bigger.  Snubs happen.  That is the reality of life.  It is the reason all of us aren’t in the NFL or Rhodes Scholars or NASA astronauts.  

So what makes 64 (read: 65) so special?  Why not go back to 32 or 48?  64 is special because of the way the game is played.  You have 32 conferences.  That is 32 Automatic bids.  Then there are 33 At-Large Bids.  These At-Large teams deserve a chance because they earned it through the season.  Michigan State and Purdue lost in the Big Ten tournament but dominated the regular season.  They deserve to play in the tournament.  I think we can all agree on that.  And where 64 beats 48 is in symmetry.  64 teams need to win 6 games to win a national title.  No byes.  High seed vs. lower seed.  Survive-and-advance.  It works.

Expansion hurts the game in profound ways.  Take this years NIT tournament.  North Carolina played in the NIT Final.  At the selection of the field, Carolina was 16-16 with a 5-11 record in the ACC.  Ah hem.  That is not a year to be celebrated with a title shot.  Not close.  But you know what it means?  Next year's North Carolina will be playing for a national title.  I’m sorry, they do not deserve it.  Could you make arguments that Dayton or Mississippi State deserved it?  Yes, absolutely and I would say both teams could have made dents in the brackets.  But you can also argue for their exclusion and that is why they weren’t there.  North Carolina is a no-brainer.  They didn’t deserve to be in.  

What will happen in a 96 team tournament is more mediocrity will be introduced.  Ok, so we lose the NIT.  All that does is give me basketball-free evenings in between the first two weekends.  I guess I can live with that. But am I supposed to be excited about Ohio University playing Seton Hall?  That is better for the game than a healthy Ohio squad coming off the MAC Championship with a full head of steam to play Big East powerhouse Georgetown (a deserved at-large team)?  See the difference?  Seton Hall was laughed out of their home arena in the NIT by a Texas A&M team that was far from impressive.  Please, please, please, leave that in the NIT where it belongs.  No offense, but it is not National Championship basketball.

And while we are on topic with Ohio, let’s think about this further.  Ohio earned that 14 seed by winning their conference tournament.  In the new world, where we have to sift through 64 at-large teams, Ohio will be pushed further down the totem pole in seeding.  The lowest seeded at-large bid this year was a 12.  If you add an additional 31 at-large teams, you won’t be stuffing them at the bottom of the bracket, you will be fitting them in the mix.  So 14th seed Ohio looks to be more like a 21 (at best) seed in the new world, meaning we will have to watch them play a 12 seed (probably the Mississippi State or Rhode Island who just missed) in order to earn the right to play a 5 seed later in the same week.  This is no improvement.  Once the great thrill of the mid majors was the chance to play Duke.  Now it will be the chance to play an awkwardly scheduled Tuesday morning game against NC State or Oregon or Arkansas.

Now we are getting into the meat of the discussion.  What this does for the game is it cheapens the regular season.  You can argue the regular season has already been cheapened by conference tournaments but at least we have seen a rise in strength-of-schedule and out-of-conference play.  Yes, not perfect.  Bubble teams from the ACC and Big 12 won’t touch a road game in the Missouri Valley and they certainly will never step foot in Hinkle.  Too much to lose.  But this is not cause for overhaul.  By-and-large, teams have to be strategically risky in order to be recognized.  I am sorry, am I crazy or is this capitalism?  For a business to succeed, it needs to operate within its means but at some point will need to take some risks in order to make it to the next level.  Again, life!  This is how it works.



In a gluttonous 96 team world, Clemson is playing to win 7 ACC games, rack up 13 cupcakes out of conference and hope for a game or two in the ACC tourney to improve seeding.  At the end of the day, they have won between 18 and 20 games, they are in the NCAA tournament, and their coach has kept his job.  Meanwhile, they didn’t challenge themselves, the student-athletes were cheated out of a life-altering experience, and Mr. Coach gets paid for doing something pretty much any of us could have done.  Cheering mediocrity makes my stomach churn.   

But you will argue more mid-majors get their chance.  Ok I will approach this idiotic line of reasoning from 2 angles.  First, no.  Mid-majors make the tournament for being exceptional.  As much as I love them, another 16 mid-majors in the tournament won’t increase the Cinderella-magic, it will cheapen it.  Second, we know for sure, without a doubt, 100%, no questions asked, this decision is completely about money.  When Butler and Duke met Monday, it wasn’t the difference in school size that made it such a David and Goliath event.  It was the difference in budgets.  Duke resides in the ACC which is one of the most fertile money-producers in all of college sports.  The ACC had an athletics budget this year of over $58 million.  For basketball alone, their budget was just under $6 million.  Compare that with the Horizon League where Butler plays and the entire budget for all Horizon League athletics was $9.7 million with just over $1.5 million going to basketball.  This is how David vs. Goliath is born.  That is what makes Butler such an underdog.  Money equals recruiting breadth, state-of-the-art facilities, sponsors, quality coaching staffs and trainers, large on-campus arenas, etc, etc.  The reason I bring this up here is because it is documented that the NCAA earns the majority of its money from the men’s tournament.  So with expansion looming large and budgets being cut everywhere you look, what makes you believe that open slots will go to small schools?  No.  Sorry, what you will see is 13 of the 16 Big East teams in the tournament (total number who participated in the Dance and NIT this year).  Money speaks. 

Really, where does it end?  We all let out a collective “aw” when we learned Gordon Hayward was in class Monday morning before the National Championship game but the term Student has all-but been severed from the title ‘student-athlete’.  There is a nationally-followed lawsuit pending against the NCAA right now regarding the way they profit off these students.  As far as the record books are concerned, some of my favorite college basketball memories didn’t even happen due to misuse of money and falsified grades.  And now you can throw this in there.  Another week of games for the tournament means another week of missed classes for these kids, further straining that delicate line.  And less we forget the women.  Gino Auriemma has blasted his colleagues for not running successful women’s programs.  So the men go to 96 and you know the women are next.  What a shame that will be.  The sport would be better suited at 32 at this point, not 96.

So this is where we are.  As we speak, the fate of this sports future is being decided and its happening no where near a basketball court.  Besides the NCAA Tournament changes, we have a pending lockout in the NBA in 2011.  What does that mean?  Chances are we will see a huge surge of underclassman going to the pros this year because there may not even be a draft next year.  As much as I hate to see it, I am sure this will include Kyle Singler.  Greedily, I want to see him defend the title but I can swallow him leaving because he has the talent and body to make the move.  What will make me livid will be when Lance Stephenson, Kenny Boynton, Daniel Orton, and Kemba Walker leave.  The first step forward was taken when Stern instituted the one-year rule will.  It is quickly becoming two steps back and this is a whole new, ugly can of worms.  Name three guys from Memphis’s last four years.  You probably can’t.  You can tell me Derrick Rose and some guy named Dozier.  In fact, wait a few more years and tell me three names from this Kentucky team.  These one-and-doners aren’t improving the college landscape, they are exploiting it.  And if you open the flood gates this year due to the fear of uncertainty in the NBA, it will be hard to close them again.  All you will need is one or two of these guys to earn guaranteed lottery money and there is no going back.  

And this is what we will be left with.  Big School A will hire Mr. Hot-Shot-Young-Coach for their basketball program.  He will go out and recruit top-tier talent (at whatever means necessary) and bring them on campus for one year.  They will get him his 20+ wins and a weekend or two in the Big Dance.  Off they will go to the NBA and the next crop will show up.  This is the revolving door we are heading towards.  A pit stop to pro ball.  A glorified D-League.  To be honest, I would rather these kids just bypass college all-together for the D League.  I will take 1,000 tear-soaked De’Sean Butlers and fist-pumping Brian Zoubek’s before another Derrick Rose.  No offense to Rose.  It is not the kids, it is the system.

Money rules the day.  As we speak, the CEO of Nike is instrumental in negations to lure Butler coach, Brad Stevens away to coach the Oregon Ducks.  Nike is in bed with Oregon University athletics so much its hard to tell where one ends and the other begins.  Is it crazy to envision a world where Nike signs a 6 year old LeBron James Jr. to a Nike contract, travels him around the world on their “Amateur team”, while Oregon lies ready and waiting for him once his tour of service is complete?  Oregon sells James Jr. jerseys all over the world and even gives him a Gatorade commercial where he shoots half court free throws (because this is essentially what could come from the Ed O’Bannon trials), and then after a year, he goes off to NBA greatness.  Oh I forgot to mention that Nike home-schooled him through their special outreach program designed by Ivy League-educated scholars who write it off as “giving underprivileged-inner-city-youth a chance to make it.”  This way, James Jr’s educational requirements can be fully complete by age 16, leaving all this time to focus on basketball, earn that one year out of high school status and be wearing a Lakers jersey by his 18th birthday.  And you think this is far-fetched…

See, I am not trying to be a dreamer.  I am trying to be a realist.  College basketball will survive in some shape or form and we will still cheer.  There will be another De’Sean Butler to fall in love with, another Ronald Nored to shake our heads at when we wonder how the “big schools” let him go, and surely another Duke team to love or hate, however you feel.  Gone will be the peripheral fan who get excited every March, the old school fans who despise change, Laurie from accounts payable who fills out her bracket based on places she’d like to visit.  I guess we can consider them collateral damage.  

As worried as I am, there is no doubt in my mind I will still be there, perhaps still hiding in my blanket-fort, twenty years from now.  But I really wonder who will be there with me?  Will my son be there?  And if he isn’t, how can I ever show him how good this one shining moment once was.